Wargames Show the US Could Burn Through Its Ammo in 'As Few as 3 to 4 Weeks' in a War with China, Commission Warns
A recent report from a bipartisan commission appointed by Congress has raised alarming concerns regarding the United States' military readiness in the event of a protracted conflict with China. The 114-page review highlights that the US could exhaust its munitions stockpiles in as little as three to four weeks, a stark warning that underscores the urgent need for a reassessment of national defense strategies.
Key Findings of the Report
The commission's findings are particularly troubling, indicating that certain critical munitions, such as anti-ship missiles, could be depleted in just a few days. This revelation points to significant deficiencies in the US military's current ammunition reserves, which have not been adequately addressed despite recent increases in arms production aimed at supporting Ukraine.
The report consolidates various assessments and testimonies from defense officials, emphasizing that the US is ill-prepared for a sustained conflict with major powers like China or Russia, let alone facing both simultaneously. The urgency of the situation is compounded by the fact that the US's ability to "blunt and defeat an initial invasion" is severely hampered by insufficient arms.
Defense Production and Industrial Capacity
The commission, which includes a retired Army general and a former congresswoman, criticized the overall state of US defense production, labeling it "grossly inadequate." The report asserts that the current industrial capacity is insufficient to meet national defense needs, even in peacetime. This inadequacy raises serious questions about the US's ability to respond effectively to emerging threats.
The report also draws attention to the stockpiles of munitions held by US allies, suggesting that these too may be lacking. A cited report from the Royal United Services Institute highlights the disparity in ammunition usage, noting that Russia was expending more ammunition in two days during the conflict in Ukraine than the entire British military had in stock.
Recommendations for Change
In light of these findings, the commission has proposed several significant changes to US defense planning. One key recommendation is the adoption of an "all elements of national power" strategy, which would integrate the private and civil sectors into defense efforts. This approach mirrors China's strategy of leveraging civilian companies alongside military capabilities to enhance wartime readiness.
Another proposed strategy is the "Multiple Theater Force Construct," designed to prepare the US military for large-scale conflicts against multiple adversaries simultaneously. This marks a departure from the traditional "two-war construct," which focused on readiness for two regional threats.
Public Awareness and Urgency for Action
The report also highlights a concerning lack of public awareness regarding the threats facing the US and its allies. Many Americans remain unaware of how a major conflict could impact their daily lives, from essential services to national security. The commission calls for a bipartisan "call to arms," urging immediate action to implement necessary changes and investments in defense capabilities.
In conclusion, the findings of this report serve as a wake-up call for US policymakers and the public alike. The potential for rapid depletion of munitions in a conflict with China underscores the critical need for a comprehensive reevaluation of national defense strategies and a commitment to strengthening the military's readiness for future challenges.